A typically competitive renewal for this three-year-old handicap with several horses holding leading claims.
There is plenty of reason to think that Politicise can improve for the step up in trip here having plugged on well in both his starts over a mile this season. But he has been well found in the market and is currently trading at odds of 4/1, which looks a bit short for a horse that has been a beaten favourite on his last starts off the same mark.
The Trader will also be very popular for SDS followers here at Epsom having performed admirably in the London Gold Cup Handicap last month which is one of the hottest three-year-old handicaps at this time of the season. The Trader appears to be the leading hope for Mark Johnston – who has three entered in this – and he is not passed over lightly.
But I’m going to take a chance on RED HOT, who looks a massive price at 10/1 for a race that has thrown up plenty of big price winners down the years. An opening mark of 90 must surely understimate this filly who will be having just her fourth start of her career.
The daughter of Siyouni got off the mark on the all-weather last December with a commanding performance and reappeared this season in the Cheshire Oaks – a high calibre race for her opening performance on turf. The yard have said that they hold her in high regard and she can take a step forward here having surely learned a lot from her season opener in a key Oaks trial.
Red Hot’s performance in the Cheshire Oaks was much better than the bare form suggests coming fifth to Oaks’ performers Manuela De Vega and Mehdaayih. The 1f drop in trip to 1m 2f should suit Red Hot better and it will be interesting to see how she fares on faster ground with her fast-action suggesting she will take to it.
Red Hot is carrying a nice weight and is entitled to improve a chunk for her first run of the campaign, and at 10/1, she’s a cracking each-way bet in the opener on Derby day.
1pt each-way Red Hot @10/1, 14:00 Epsom, Saturday (1,2,3 places, 1/5 odds with Betfair)Leave a comment