7f Moyglare Stud Stakes (Group 1) (Fillies) (Breeders’ Cup Challenge Race) (2yo)
The market is very strong towards Simply Gorgeous being better than Donnacha O’Brien’s SHALE but I think they’re very closely matched. It’s 1-1 between them this season and Simply Gorgeous’s win last time was crucially on soft ground. Shale reminds me a lot of Love as she’s got a low action and should relish faster going, and her form to date is almost identical. Love won and then got beaten in the exact same two races last season before landing this, so the signs are good as Shale has been campaigned the same. This race is usually the one that sorts out Coolmore’s 1,000 Guineas pecking order as it’s produced the likes of Minding, Magical and Love in the past. Shale is currently 33/1 for the 1,000 Guineas and a very tasty 4/1 tomorrow. I’m taking both.
1pt win Shale @4/1, 15:40 Curragh, Sunday
1pt win Shale @33/1, 1,000 Guineas (May 2021)