We’ve a couple of weeks before the marathon Grand National, and there’s still plenty of jumps season left to go, but today our attentions turn away from soggy Britain and Ireland and towards the desert, where Dubai hosts its World Cup card.
Nearly four miles shorter than the Grand National, the six-furong Al Quoz Sprint – Group One – looks a hot renewal this year and with Blue Point such a short-priced favourite there must be a bet or two.
Blue Point was a very good three-year-old sprinter and he holds Ascot’s six-furlong track record, but he wasn’t the best of the European sprinters last season and the Americans and Australians are usually stronger.
Marsha and Lady Aurelia – the King’s Stand and Nunthorpe winners in 2017 – were both smashed up by STORMY LIBERAL in the Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint in Del Mar at the back end of last year, and that foe is 40/1 today.
I look for overpriced formlines at these big international meets and this one look to have been really underrated.
That brings CONQUEST TSUNAMI into the mix, too, as he finished a place ahead of Stormy Liberal when winning their prep run for this and is a generous 20/1.
I don’t really understand why they are both such huge prices compared to a horse such as Jungle Cat, who has time and again proven to be way below Group One standard in Britain, yet he’s 5/1 second favourite.
The market smacks of British bias, which makes it a great betting heat if you look elsewhere, so I’m going to fill my boots and add the Aussie raider MUSIC MAGNATE too, as they generally represent their local form extremely well in this race and won it last year with Buffering.