2m4f (2m3f200y) (Mildmay) SSS Super Alloys Manifesto Novices’ Chase (Grade 1) (GBB Race) (Class 1) (5yo+)
I think FUSIL RAFFLES has the best form and 3/1 really underestimates him off level weights on the good ground he loves, so there’s no reason not to have him onside – for all I like one of his opponents. I wouldn’t usually back two in a seven runner race but I’m on ELDORADO ALLEN as well. He’s completely unexposed at this trip and his form points to a liking of good ground. Tizzard’s horses have been in and out all season but he’s been one of the better ones and has always threatened to be a good horse. I think he’ll relish stepping up to this trip and he reminds me of another Tizzard star, Fox Norton, who stepped up to win over this course and distance after spending his career over two miles. Tizzard has repeated that trick with the likes of Lostintranslation as well, so this might have been the plan for some time.
1pt win Fusil Raffles @3/1, 13:45 Aintree, Thursday
1pt win Eldorado Allen @7/1, 13:45 Aintree, Thursday
3m1f (3m210y) (Mildmay) Betway Bowl Chase (Grade 1) (GBB Race) (Class 1) (5yo+)
He might not stay but I think he will, so MISTER FISHER is the obvious bet in the Bowl. 8/1 is a very nice price for such a classy and unexposed horse. He was taken off his feet in the Ryanair and bumped into a monster performance from Allaho, so I’m happy to put a line through that run as it will bear little resemblance to this test. His jumping will need to hold up and that’s the reason I’m not backing him each-way, but all the opposition come with big caveats and he looks a good bet. This is only his fourth start this season so I’m not too worried about him bouncing from Cheltenham.
1pt win Mister Fisher @8/1, 14:50 Aintree, Thursday
2m4f Betway Aintree Hurdle (Grade 1) (GBB Race) (Class 1) (4yo+)
A cracking race and one where I fancy an upset. I have to back MILLERS BANK after tipping him at 12/1 when winning a handicap off 137 at Newbury last time out, and by no means have we seen the peak of his ability. This is a step up in trip and the sectionals showed he quickened in the last half mile and hit the line hard, suggesting he’ll stay. I’d expect him to get outpaced for much of this and I hope he’ll be staying on. Official ratings say he can’t win, but he’s a horse on the up and 50/1 is obviously a big price.
1pt each-way Millers Bank @50/1, 15:35 Aintree, Thursday (1-4, 1/5 Betfair Sportsbook)
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