2m (1m7f216y) Unibet Casino Deposit £10 Get £40 Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) (Class 2) (4yo+ 0-145)
Eight run and I don’t like the top three in the betting. The favourite Hermes Boy might not run if the going gets too heavy and that would leave just seven runners, making each-way betting unattractive. Volkovka is interesting but the 12lb swing in the weights from her second last time out, coupled with the drop in trip, is too much to overcome. In contrast, NAVAJO PASS has tumbled from a rating of 156 to 145 in just two starts. He’s the best horse in the race and was no doubt overrated after being Buveur D’Air last season, but a mark of 145 is very workable on his second start of the season. Soft ground is no issue and we know he stays further so the only negative is he hasn’t shown any form since that Haydock success. He’s entitled to improve for the run and was particularly keen last time out. If he settles and runs his race he’ll win.
1pt win Navajo Pass @10/1, 15:35 Sandown, SaturdayLeave a comment