The European challenge in this race looks weak this year after Opera Singer wasn’t entered and Aidan O’Brien only sends the disappointing Content, who needed every yard of the soft ground mile to win last time. Carla’s Way and Porta Fortuna – along with plenty of the American team – have stamina to prove, whilst Canadian G1 winner She Feels Pretty has to improve around 10lb to win this. My big takeout of this flat season is American Triple Crown winner Justify is the next big thing in the stallion ranks and has sired three of the top four European 2yos this year. Justify has two daughters in this race and BUCHU is a strong fancy at 10/1. I expect her to go off favourite with American punters and she looks very overpriced at this early stage. She started out on the dirt, trying and disappointing twice before being switched to the grass where she’s flourished. She got a big bump on her first start on turf and was never extended but has subsequently won twice in impressive fashion, showing tactical versatility to win from being dropped in from a wide draw, and prominently from the rail. Her damsire is the great Galileo and, like the other Justify’s, she stays the trip really strongly so the European’s usual ace card of strong staying pedigrees won’t disadvantage her at all. She’s an excellent bet and I’m not too worried about the luck of the draw given she’s proven she can overcome it already.
1pt antepost win Buchu @10/1, Juvenile Fillies Turf, Friday 3rd November 2023
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