2pts win Warm Heart @3/1, 19:10 Santa Anita, Saturday

1m2f Maker’s Mark Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Turf (Grade 1) (3yo+ Fillies & Mares) (Hillside) (Turf) (3yo+)

WARM HEART should be favourite for this race over the mercurial Inspiral, who to my eye has a lot to prove at this trip. Inspiral can sulk and her tendency to completely blow out doesn’t seem to be factored into her price, whereas Warm Heart is a model of consistency when getting fast ground. She arrives here off the back of two Group One successes – and I’ll note that Aidan O’Brien would never have a filly fully tuned for the Prix Vermeille on the Arc Trials card so I’m expecting improvement again. She stays extremely strongly and has loads of battle and pace, so with an excellent draw she’s going to be incredibly hard to beat here. Inside her is the likely pace angle in the race, In Italian, so she should have no issues slotting in behind or upsides her from stall two. I’m having a hard time seeing anything else good enough to win besides Lumiere Rock, who has fared really badly from the draw.

2pts win Warm Heart @3/1, 19:10 Santa Anita, Saturday

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