1m (Row) Al Basti Equiworld, Dubai Joel Stakes (Group 2) (Class 1) (3yo+) The admirable Chindit arrives here in excellent form but I don’t think he can win – he’s got poor form at Newmarket and this is his third run in quick succession. Conversely, Mutasaabeq has excellent course form but hasn’t been running…
Author: Joel Roberts
1pt win Local Hero @9/1, 13:50 Doncaster, Friday
7f (7f6y) Betfred Flying Scotsman Stakes (Listed Race) (Class 1) (2yo) Nine runners and a short price favourite who has only run the once, which has to be a green light for a bet. At least the favourite is proven on softer going whereas most aren’t, but I was very taken by the way…
1pt win Francis Meynell 6/1, 1pt win Malc 16/1, 14:25 Doncaster, Friday
5f (5f3y) Carlsberg Danish Pilsner Flying Childers Stakes (Group 2) (Class 1) (2yo) This race is crying out for a bet as Kylian didn’t look at home on soft ground when beaten by today’s fav Big Evs at Goodwood, who himself put in his worst run of the year in what will be remembered…
1pt win Vespertilio 5/1, 15:25 Curragh, Sunday
7f Moyglare Stud Stakes (Group 1) (Fillies) (2yo) I’m happy to take on the twice raced Ylang Ylang even though there’s nothing about her chance I don’t like. I think it’s more open than the market suggests and I fancy Debuntante Stakes winner VESPERTILIO to reverse the form from earlier…
1pt win Bucanero Fuerte 9/2, 16:00 Curragh, Sunday
7f Goffs Vincent O’Brien National Stakes (Group 1) (No Geldings) (2yo) It’s remarkable seeing Henry Longfellow such a big price as he’s been a hype horse and remains unbeaten, but stablemate City Of Troy is clearly fancied to beat him and Coolmore rarely get it wrong. Rather than second guess…
0.5pts each-way Formal Display 20/1, 0.5pts each-way Bad Desire 28/1, 14:15 Leopardstown, Saturday
1m KPMG Champions Juvenile Stakes (Group 2) (Registered as the Golden Fleece Stakes) (2yo) Diego Velazquez is short in the betting for next year’s Derby, and that double was achieved by his stablemate Auguste Rodin this June. O’Brien clearly targets this race with top middle distance prospects so it’s difficult to see…
1pt win Nashwa 7/1, 15:20 Leopardstown, Saturday
1m2f Royal Bahrain Irish Champion Stakes (Group 1) (3yo+) A slightly odd betting market as race favourite King Of Steel is yet to win a Group One and the Derby form didn’t stand up well against the older generation in the King George. I like him a lot and this…
1pt win Jehangeer 14/1, 15:00 York, Friday
6f Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Gimcrack Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) (Class 1) (2yo) JEHANGEER looks a very obvious value selection here. He’s a full brother to a Group One sprinter Hellow Youmzain and his form to date has plenty of substance. Second to the subsequent Coventry Stakes second…
1pt win Nashwa @9/1, 15:35 York, Wednesday
1m2½f (1m2f56y) Juddmonte International Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Class 1) (3yo+) Only four runners but they set a high standard between them. Paddington will take all the beating whilst Mostahdaf is the highest rated turf horse in Europe. Either could win but the value lies with NASHWA on…
1pt win Islandsinthestream 8/1, 15:27 Curragh, Saturday
7f Coolmore Stud Wootton Bassett Irish EBF Futurity Stakes (Group 2) Named after the legend himself, Wootton Bassett can sire the winner of this race and upset the crazy short priced Coolmore favourite with his unexposed son ISLANDSINTHESTREAM. He’s one from one and did something unusual at Curragh on debut…